Archive for the ‘Movie Awards’ Category

Oscar® Predictions for 2017

March 3, 2018

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2017:

  • Picture: Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Director: Gillermo del Toro for The Shape of Water
  • Actor: Gary Oldman for Darkest Hour
  • Actress: Frances McDormand for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Supporting actor: Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
  • Supporting actress: Allison Janney for I, Tonya
  • Original screenplay: Get Out 
  • Adapted screenplay: Call Me By Your Name
  • Cinematography: Blade Runner 2049 (is the 14th time the charm for Roger Deakins?)
  • Editing: Dunkirk
  • Animated feature: Coco
  • Documentary feature: Faces Places
  • Foreign language feature: A Fantastic Woman (Chile)
  • Production design: The Shape of Water
  • Costumes: Phantom Thread
  • Makeup: Darkest Hour
  • Score: The Shape of Water
  • Song: “Remember Me” from Coco
  • Sound editing: Dunkirk
  • Sound mixing: Dunkirk
  • Visual effects: War for the Planet of the Apes
  • Animated short: Dear Basketball
  • Documentary short: Heaven is a Traffic Jam on the 405
  • Live action short: DeKalb Elementary

My primary source was GoldDerby, though I also looked at PredictWise. The ones that seem to have the least consensus are picture, original screenplay, documentary feature, song, visual effects, and documentary short.


Oscar® Predictions for 2016

February 25, 2017

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2016:

  • Picture: La La Land
  • Director: Damien Chazelle for La La Land
  • Actor: Denzel Washington for Fences
  • Actress: Emma Stone for La La Land
  • Supporting actor: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight
  • Supporting actress: Viola Davis for Fences
  • Original screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
  • Adapted screenplay: Moonlight
  • Cinematography: La La Land
  • Editing: La La Land
  • Animated feature: Zootopia
  • Documentary feature: O.J.: Made in America
  • Foreign language feature: The Salesman (Iran)
  • Production design: La La Land
  • Costumes: La La Land
  • Makeup: Star Trek Beyond
  • Score: La La Land
  • Song: “City of Stars” from La La Land
  • Sound editing: Hacksaw Ridge
  • Sound mixing: La La Land
  • Visual effects: The Jungle Book
  • Animated short: Piper
  • Documentary short: The White Helmets
  • Live action short: Ennemis Interieurs

My primary source was GoldDerby, though I also looked at PredictWise. The ones that seem to have the least consensus are actor, costumes, and documentary short (the last being a dead heat between The White Helmets and Joe’s Violin).

Oscar® Predictions for 2015

February 25, 2016

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2015:

  • Picture: The Revenant
  • Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  • Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  • Actress: Brie Larson for Room
  • Supporting actor: Sylvester Stallone for Creed
  • Supporting actress: Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
  • Original screenplay: Spotlight
  • Adapted screenplay: The Big Short
  • Cinematography: The Revenant
  • Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Animated feature: Inside Out
  • Documentary feature: Amy
  • Foreign language feature: Son of Saul (Hungary)
  • Production design: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Costumes: Cinderella
  • Makeup: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Score: The Hateful Eight
  • Song: “Til It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  • Sound editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Sound mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Visual effects: Star Wars: Episode VII — The Force Awakens
  • Animated short: Sanjay’s Super Team
  • Documentary short: Body Team 12
  • Live action short: Ave Maria

My primary sources were GoldDerby and PredictWise. The ones that seem to have the least consensus are costumes, sound mixing, and visual effects.

Oscar® Predictions for 2014

February 17, 2015

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2014:

  • Picture: Birdman
  • Director: Richard Linklater for Boyhood
  • Actor: Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything
  • Actress: Julianne Moore for Still Alice
  • Supporting actor: J.K. Simmons for Whiplash
  • Supporting actress: Patricia Arquette for Boyhood
  • Original screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Adapted screenplay: The Imitation Game
  • Cinematography: Birdman
  • Editing: Boyhood
  • Animated feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2
  • Documentary feature: Citizenfour
  • Foreign language feature: Ida (Poland)
  • Production design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Costumes: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Makeup: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Score: The Theory of Everything
  • Song: “Glory” from Selma
  • Sound editing: American Sniper
  • Sound mixing: Whiplash
  • Visual effects: Interstellar
  • Animated short: Feast
  • Documentary short: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
  • Live action short: The Phone Call

My primary sources were GoldDerby and PredictWise. Best picture and director are particularly challenging to predict this year.

Oscar® Predictions for 2013

March 1, 2014

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2013:

  • Picture: 12 Years a Slave
  • Director: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
  • Actor: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club
  • Actress: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
  • Supporting actor: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
  • Supporting actress: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
  • Original screenplay: Her
  • Adapted screenplay: 12 Years a Slave
  • Cinematography: Gravity
  • Editing: Gravity
  • Animated feature: Frozen
  • Documentary feature: 20 Feet from Stardom
  • Foreign language feature: The Great Beauty (Italy)
  • Production design: The Great Gatsby
  • Costumes: The Great Gatsby
  • Makeup: Dallas Buyers Club
  • Score: Gravity
  • Song: “Let It Go” from Frozen
  • Sound mixing: Gravity
  • Sound editing: Gravity
  • Visual effects: Gravity
  • Animated short: Get a Horse!
  • Documentary short: The Lady in Number 6
  • Live action short: Helium

My primary sources were GoldDerby and Awards Daily.

Oscar® Predictions for 2012

February 24, 2013

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2012:

  • Picture: Argo
  • Director: Steven Spielberg for Lincoln
  • Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln
  • Actress: Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook
  • Supporting actor: Robert De Niro for Silver Linings Playbook
  • Supporting actress: Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables
  • Original screenplay: Django Unchained
  • Adapted screenplay: Argo
  • Cinematography: Life of Pi
  • Editing: Argo
  • Animated feature: Wreck-It Ralph
  • Documentary feature: Searching for Sugar Man
  • Foreign language feature: Amour (Austria)
  • Production design: Anna Karenina
  • Costumes: Anna Karenina
  • Makeup: The Hobbit
  • Score: Life of Pi
  • Song: “Skyfall” from Skyfall
  • Sound mixing: Les Misérables
  • Sound editing: Skyfall
  • Visual effects: Life of Pi
  • Animated short: Paperman
  • Documentary short: Open Heart
  • Live action short: Curfew

For the first time in 17 years, I have not seen all of the Best Picture nominees before the ceremony, though I have seen seven of the nine. My primary sources were Awards Daily and GoldDerby.

Oscar® Predictions for 2011

February 24, 2012

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2011:

  • Picture: The Artist
  • Director: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
  • Actor: Jean Dujardin for The Artist
  • Actress: Viola Davis for The Help
  • Supporting actor: Christopher Plummer for Beginners
  • Supporting actress: Octavia Spencer for The Help
  • Original screenplay: Midnight in Paris
  • Adapted screenplay: The Descendants
  • Cinematography: The Tree of Life
  • Editing: The Artist
  • Animated feature: Rango
  • Documentary feature: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
  • Foreign language feature: A Separation (Iran)
  • Art direction: Hugo
  • Costumes: The Artist
  • Makeup: The Iron Lady
  • Score: The Artist
  • Song: “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets
  • Sound mixing: Hugo
  • Sound editing: Hugo
  • Visual effects: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  • Animated short: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
  • Documentary short: Saving Face
  • Live action short: Pentecost

My primary source is Awards Daily.

Oscar® Predictions for 2010

February 26, 2011

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2010:

  • Picture: The King’s Speech
  • Director: David Fincher for The Social Network
  • Actor: Colin Firth for The King’s Speech
  • Actress: Natalie Portman for Black Swan
  • Supporting actor: Christian Bale for The Fighter
  • Supporting actress: Melissa Leo for The Fighter
  • Original screenplay: The King’s Speech
  • Adapted screenplay: The Social Network
  • Cinematography: True Grit
  • Editing: The Social Network
  • Animated feature: Toy Story 3
  • Documentary feature: Inside Job
  • Foreign language feature: In a Better World (Denmark)
  • Art direction: The King’s Speech
  • Costumes: The King’s Speech
  • Makeup: The Wolfman
  • Score: The King’s Speech
  • Song: “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3
  • Sound: Inception
  • Sound editing: Inception
  • Visual effects: Inception
  • Animated short: The Gruffalo
  • Documentary short: Strangers No More
  • Live action short: God of Love

My primary source is Awards Daily.

Oscar® Predictions

March 6, 2010

Cutting to the chase, here are my Oscar® predictions for this year (for films from 2009):

  • Picture: The Hurt Locker
  • Director: Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker
  • Actor: Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart
  • Actress: Sandra Bullock for The Blind Side
  • Supporting actor: Christof Waltz for Inglourious Basterds
  • Supporting actress: Mo’Nique for Precious
  • Original screenplay: The Hurt Locker
  • Adapted screenplay: Up in the Air
  • Cinematography: Avatar
  • Editing: The Hurt Locker
  • Animated feature: Up
  • Documentary feature: The Cove
  • Foreign language feature: El Secreto de Sus Ojos
  • Art direction: Avatar
  • Costumes: The Young Victoria
  • Makeup: Star Trek
  • Score: Up
  • Song: “The Weary Kind” from Crazy Heart
  • Sound: Avatar
  • Sound editing: Avatar
  • Visual effects: Avatar
  • Animated short: A Matter of Loaf and Death
  • Documentary short: The Last Truck
  • Live action short: The Door

My primary source is Awards Daily.

While I’m at it, my rough ranking of the 10 Best Picture nominees is:

  1. An Education
  2. Up
  3. A Serious Man
  4. Precious
  5. Up in the Air
  6. The Hurt Locker
  7. District 9
  8. Avatar
  9. Inglourious Basterds
  10. The Blind Side

Oscar® Predictions

February 21, 2009

I had hoped to finish catching up on my movie reviews first, but I need to get this post done before the ceremony. So without further ado, here are my Oscar® predictions for this year (for films from 2008):

  • Picture: Slumdog Millionaire (Milk would by my personal vote)
  • Director: Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire
  • Actor: Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler
  • Actress: Kate Winslet for The Reader
  • Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight
  • Supporting Actress: Penélope Cruz for Vicky Cristina Barcelona
  • Original Screenplay: Milk
  • Adapted Screenplay: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Cinematography: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Editing: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Animated Feature: WALL·E
  • Documentary Feature: Man on Wire
  • Foreign Language Feature: Waltz with Bashir
  • Art Direction: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Costumes: The Duchess
  • Makeup: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Score: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Song: “Jai Ho” from Slumdog Millionaire
  • Sound: The Dark Knight
  • Sound Editing: The Dark Knight
  • Visual Effects: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Animated Short: Presto
  • Documentary Short: The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306
  • Live Action Short: The Pig (Grisen)

I credit Awards Daily for most of my data. I only diverged from their consensus picks in two cases, though I considered it in two more (Foreign Language Feature and Sound Editing).