Archive for the ‘Movie Awards’ Category

Oscar® Predictions for 2016

February 25, 2017

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2016:

  • Picture: La La Land
  • Director: Damien Chazelle for La La Land
  • Actor: Denzel Washington for Fences
  • Actress: Emma Stone for La La Land
  • Supporting actor: Mahershala Ali for Moonlight
  • Supporting actress: Viola Davis for Fences
  • Original screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
  • Adapted screenplay: Moonlight
  • Cinematography: La La Land
  • Editing: La La Land
  • Animated feature: Zootopia
  • Documentary feature: O.J.: Made in America
  • Foreign language feature: The Salesman (Iran)
  • Production design: La La Land
  • Costumes: La La Land
  • Makeup: Star Trek Beyond
  • Score: La La Land
  • Song: “City of Stars” from La La Land
  • Sound editing: Hacksaw Ridge
  • Sound mixing: La La Land
  • Visual effects: The Jungle Book
  • Animated short: Piper
  • Documentary short: The White Helmets
  • Live action short: Ennemis Interieurs

My primary source was GoldDerby, though I also looked at PredictWise. The ones that seem to have the least consensus are actor, costumes, and documentary short (the last being a dead heat between The White Helmets and Joe’s Violin).


Oscar® Predictions for 2015

February 25, 2016

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2015:

  • Picture: The Revenant
  • Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu for The Revenant
  • Actor: Leonardo DiCaprio for The Revenant
  • Actress: Brie Larson for Room
  • Supporting actor: Sylvester Stallone for Creed
  • Supporting actress: Alicia Vikander for The Danish Girl
  • Original screenplay: Spotlight
  • Adapted screenplay: The Big Short
  • Cinematography: The Revenant
  • Editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Animated feature: Inside Out
  • Documentary feature: Amy
  • Foreign language feature: Son of Saul (Hungary)
  • Production design: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Costumes: Cinderella
  • Makeup: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Score: The Hateful Eight
  • Song: “Til It Happens to You” from The Hunting Ground
  • Sound editing: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Sound mixing: Mad Max: Fury Road
  • Visual effects: Star Wars: Episode VII — The Force Awakens
  • Animated short: Sanjay’s Super Team
  • Documentary short: Body Team 12
  • Live action short: Ave Maria

My primary sources were GoldDerby and PredictWise. The ones that seem to have the least consensus are costumes, sound mixing, and visual effects.

Oscar® Predictions for 2014

February 17, 2015

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2014:

  • Picture: Birdman
  • Director: Richard Linklater for Boyhood
  • Actor: Eddie Redmayne for The Theory of Everything
  • Actress: Julianne Moore for Still Alice
  • Supporting actor: J.K. Simmons for Whiplash
  • Supporting actress: Patricia Arquette for Boyhood
  • Original screenplay: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Adapted screenplay: The Imitation Game
  • Cinematography: Birdman
  • Editing: Boyhood
  • Animated feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2
  • Documentary feature: Citizenfour
  • Foreign language feature: Ida (Poland)
  • Production design: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Costumes: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Makeup: The Grand Budapest Hotel
  • Score: The Theory of Everything
  • Song: “Glory” from Selma
  • Sound editing: American Sniper
  • Sound mixing: Whiplash
  • Visual effects: Interstellar
  • Animated short: Feast
  • Documentary short: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
  • Live action short: The Phone Call

My primary sources were GoldDerby and PredictWise. Best picture and director are particularly challenging to predict this year.

Oscar® Predictions for 2013

March 1, 2014

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2013:

  • Picture: 12 Years a Slave
  • Director: Alfonso Cuarón for Gravity
  • Actor: Matthew McConaughey for Dallas Buyers Club
  • Actress: Cate Blanchett for Blue Jasmine
  • Supporting actor: Jared Leto for Dallas Buyers Club
  • Supporting actress: Lupita Nyong’o for 12 Years a Slave
  • Original screenplay: Her
  • Adapted screenplay: 12 Years a Slave
  • Cinematography: Gravity
  • Editing: Gravity
  • Animated feature: Frozen
  • Documentary feature: 20 Feet from Stardom
  • Foreign language feature: The Great Beauty (Italy)
  • Production design: The Great Gatsby
  • Costumes: The Great Gatsby
  • Makeup: Dallas Buyers Club
  • Score: Gravity
  • Song: “Let It Go” from Frozen
  • Sound mixing: Gravity
  • Sound editing: Gravity
  • Visual effects: Gravity
  • Animated short: Get a Horse!
  • Documentary short: The Lady in Number 6
  • Live action short: Helium

My primary sources were GoldDerby and Awards Daily.

Oscar® Predictions for 2012

February 24, 2013

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2012:

  • Picture: Argo
  • Director: Steven Spielberg for Lincoln
  • Actor: Daniel Day-Lewis for Lincoln
  • Actress: Jennifer Lawrence for Silver Linings Playbook
  • Supporting actor: Robert De Niro for Silver Linings Playbook
  • Supporting actress: Anne Hathaway for Les Misérables
  • Original screenplay: Django Unchained
  • Adapted screenplay: Argo
  • Cinematography: Life of Pi
  • Editing: Argo
  • Animated feature: Wreck-It Ralph
  • Documentary feature: Searching for Sugar Man
  • Foreign language feature: Amour (Austria)
  • Production design: Anna Karenina
  • Costumes: Anna Karenina
  • Makeup: The Hobbit
  • Score: Life of Pi
  • Song: “Skyfall” from Skyfall
  • Sound mixing: Les Misérables
  • Sound editing: Skyfall
  • Visual effects: Life of Pi
  • Animated short: Paperman
  • Documentary short: Open Heart
  • Live action short: Curfew

For the first time in 17 years, I have not seen all of the Best Picture nominees before the ceremony, though I have seen seven of the nine. My primary sources were Awards Daily and GoldDerby.

Oscar® Predictions for 2011

February 24, 2012

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2011:

  • Picture: The Artist
  • Director: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist
  • Actor: Jean Dujardin for The Artist
  • Actress: Viola Davis for The Help
  • Supporting actor: Christopher Plummer for Beginners
  • Supporting actress: Octavia Spencer for The Help
  • Original screenplay: Midnight in Paris
  • Adapted screenplay: The Descendants
  • Cinematography: The Tree of Life
  • Editing: The Artist
  • Animated feature: Rango
  • Documentary feature: Paradise Lost 3: Purgatory
  • Foreign language feature: A Separation (Iran)
  • Art direction: Hugo
  • Costumes: The Artist
  • Makeup: The Iron Lady
  • Score: The Artist
  • Song: “Man or Muppet” from The Muppets
  • Sound mixing: Hugo
  • Sound editing: Hugo
  • Visual effects: Rise of the Planet of the Apes
  • Animated short: The Fantastic Flying Books of Mr. Morris Lessmore
  • Documentary short: Saving Face
  • Live action short: Pentecost

My primary source is Awards Daily.

Oscar® Predictions for 2010

February 26, 2011

Here are my predictions for the Oscar winners for films made in 2010:

  • Picture: The King’s Speech
  • Director: David Fincher for The Social Network
  • Actor: Colin Firth for The King’s Speech
  • Actress: Natalie Portman for Black Swan
  • Supporting actor: Christian Bale for The Fighter
  • Supporting actress: Melissa Leo for The Fighter
  • Original screenplay: The King’s Speech
  • Adapted screenplay: The Social Network
  • Cinematography: True Grit
  • Editing: The Social Network
  • Animated feature: Toy Story 3
  • Documentary feature: Inside Job
  • Foreign language feature: In a Better World (Denmark)
  • Art direction: The King’s Speech
  • Costumes: The King’s Speech
  • Makeup: The Wolfman
  • Score: The King’s Speech
  • Song: “We Belong Together” from Toy Story 3
  • Sound: Inception
  • Sound editing: Inception
  • Visual effects: Inception
  • Animated short: The Gruffalo
  • Documentary short: Strangers No More
  • Live action short: God of Love

My primary source is Awards Daily.

Oscar® Predictions

March 6, 2010

Cutting to the chase, here are my Oscar® predictions for this year (for films from 2009):

  • Picture: The Hurt Locker
  • Director: Kathryn Bigelow for The Hurt Locker
  • Actor: Jeff Bridges for Crazy Heart
  • Actress: Sandra Bullock for The Blind Side
  • Supporting actor: Christof Waltz for Inglourious Basterds
  • Supporting actress: Mo’Nique for Precious
  • Original screenplay: The Hurt Locker
  • Adapted screenplay: Up in the Air
  • Cinematography: Avatar
  • Editing: The Hurt Locker
  • Animated feature: Up
  • Documentary feature: The Cove
  • Foreign language feature: El Secreto de Sus Ojos
  • Art direction: Avatar
  • Costumes: The Young Victoria
  • Makeup: Star Trek
  • Score: Up
  • Song: “The Weary Kind” from Crazy Heart
  • Sound: Avatar
  • Sound editing: Avatar
  • Visual effects: Avatar
  • Animated short: A Matter of Loaf and Death
  • Documentary short: The Last Truck
  • Live action short: The Door

My primary source is Awards Daily.

While I’m at it, my rough ranking of the 10 Best Picture nominees is:

  1. An Education
  2. Up
  3. A Serious Man
  4. Precious
  5. Up in the Air
  6. The Hurt Locker
  7. District 9
  8. Avatar
  9. Inglourious Basterds
  10. The Blind Side

Oscar® Predictions

February 21, 2009

I had hoped to finish catching up on my movie reviews first, but I need to get this post done before the ceremony. So without further ado, here are my Oscar® predictions for this year (for films from 2008):

  • Picture: Slumdog Millionaire (Milk would by my personal vote)
  • Director: Danny Boyle for Slumdog Millionaire
  • Actor: Mickey Rourke for The Wrestler
  • Actress: Kate Winslet for The Reader
  • Supporting Actor: Heath Ledger for The Dark Knight
  • Supporting Actress: Penélope Cruz for Vicky Cristina Barcelona
  • Original Screenplay: Milk
  • Adapted Screenplay: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Cinematography: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Editing: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Animated Feature: WALL·E
  • Documentary Feature: Man on Wire
  • Foreign Language Feature: Waltz with Bashir
  • Art Direction: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Costumes: The Duchess
  • Makeup: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Score: Slumdog Millionaire
  • Song: “Jai Ho” from Slumdog Millionaire
  • Sound: The Dark Knight
  • Sound Editing: The Dark Knight
  • Visual Effects: The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
  • Animated Short: Presto
  • Documentary Short: The Witness from the Balcony of Room 306
  • Live Action Short: The Pig (Grisen)

I credit Awards Daily for most of my data. I only diverged from their consensus picks in two cases, though I considered it in two more (Foreign Language Feature and Sound Editing).

Oscar® Reactions, 2008

February 27, 2008

In the big 8 categories, I was 6 out of 8, missing both of the female acting categories. I haven’t seen La Vie En Rose (which won) or I’m Not There (which I predicted but which did not win), so it’s hard to say if the Academy® got these right or not.

In the remaining categories I missed another 6. The biggest surprises to me were Elizabeth: The Golden Age winning for costumes, since films that are poorly reviewed rarely win anything, and Taxi to the Dark Side winning for documentary feature over both No End in Sight and Sicko. I was glad to be wrong on Taxi, since it’s a film that should be more widely seen (IMDb shows it having made under $100,000 through February 17th).

And poor Kevin O’Connell, who still has zero wins out of 20 nominations.