Archive for March, 2024

Oscar® Predictions for 2023 Movies

March 7, 2024

These are my predictions for the Oscar winners for movies released in 2023:

  • Picture: Oppenheimer
  • Director: Christopher Nolan for Oppenheimer
  • Actor: Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer
  • Actress: Lily Gladstone for Killers of the Flower Moon
  • Supporting actor: Robert Downey Jr. for Oppenheimer
  • Supporting actress: Da’Vine Joy Randolph for The Holdovers
  • Original screenplay: Anatomy of a Fall
  • Adapted screenplay: American Fiction
  • Cinematography: Oppenheimer
  • Editing: Oppenheimer
  • Animated feature: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
  • Documentary feature: 20 Days in Mariupol
  • International feature: The Zone of Interest (United Kingdom)
  • Costumes: Barbie
  • Makeup and hairstyling: Maestro
  • Production design: Poor Things
  • Score: Oppenheimer
  • Song: “What Was I Made For?” from Barbie
  • Sound: Oppenheimer
  • Visual effects: Godzilla Minus One
  • Animated short: WAR IS OVER! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
  • Documentary short: The ABCs of Book Banning
  • Live action short: The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

As has been true most years, I have seen at least the Best Picture nominees. This year I only saw one of those in a theater and the rest at home. My primary source was GoldDerby (the predictions by the experts, editors, top 24, and all-star 24).

The categories that seem to have the least consensus, with my backup predictions, are:

  • Costumes: Poor Things (instead of Barbie)
  • Production design: Barbie (instead of Poor Things)
  • Animated short: Letter to a Pig (instead of WAR IS OVER!)

Other categories that have more consensus than those three but still less than most, with my backup predictions, are:

  • Best actor: Paul Giamatti for The Holdovers (instead of Cillian Murphy for Oppenheimer)
  • Best actress: Emma Stone for Poor Things (instead of Lily Gladstone for Killers of the Flower Moon)
  • Adapted screenplay: Oppenheimer (instead of American Fiction)
  • Animated feature: The Boy and the Heron (instead of Spider-Man)
  • Makeup and hairstyling: Poor Things (instead of Maestro)
  • Documentary short: The Last Repair Shop (instead of Book Banning)
  • Live action short: Red, White and Blue (instead of Henry Sugar)

And of course almost all years there are one or more “sure things” that do not actually win.

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